Stay Up to Date
Search Results
158 items found for ""
- November: The Typhoon Train
The 2024 Pacific Typhoon Season was overall below average. However, the Western Pacific produced an unusual event and arguably the main highlight of the season: back-to-back typhoons for the Philippines. Let's dive into how these typhoons developed and their impacts. Typhoon Yinxing The first storm of the November typhoon train was Yinxing. On November 3, 2024, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) marked a tropical depression, which later became Tropical Storm Yinxing. By November 5, the storm rapidly intensified to a Category 3 typhoon. After maintaining intensity, on November 7th at 6 am UTC, Yinxing peaked as a Category 4 typhoon with powerful sustained winds of 145 mph before making landfall on Santa Ana, Cagayan, Philippines. After heading west and weakening to Category 1 intensity, the typhoon restrengthened to a high-end Category 3 in the South China Sea. On November 10, wind shear increased and the storm quickly weakened, dissipating on November 12. Category 4 Typhoon Yinxing near peak intensity Yinxing produced about 10 inches of rain in Cagayan. Strong winds damaged over 28,000 houses and flooding closed multiple bridges. One fatality has been reported. Overall, infrastructure and agricultural damages totaled more than $9 million. After the typhoon, the South Korean government and Taipei Economic and Cultural Office provided aid worth over $700,000 to affected areas. Lastly, models did not develop Yinxing until the day the storm formed, which was quite interesting, and its peak intensity was very unexpected. Flooded houses and rice fields in Buguey, Philippines Typhoon Toraji On November 8, a tropical disturbance developed into Tropical Storm Toraji. A day later, the system underwent rapid intensification and unofficially peaked as a Category 2 typhoon with a defined inner core and sustained winds of 100 mph. Afterward, Toraji underwent an eyewall replacement cycle. The storm maintained high-end Category 1 intensity until it made landfall on Dilasag, Aurora, Philippines near November 11th at 12 am UTC. Mountainous terrain caused significant weakening. However, on November 12, the storm briefly re-intensified to a Category 1 typhoon in the South China Sea. On November 14, Toraji became a remnant low due to strong wind shear. Toraji near peak intensity on infrared imagery Typhoon Toraji caused several bridges to close, damaged nearly 3,000 houses, and impacted over 400,000 people. The water levels of the Cagayan River overflowed, inundating multiple villages. Unfortunately, Toraji caused four fatalities and damages totaled more than $7 million. Similar to Yinxing, models did not predict Toraji to intensify significantly until the storm started to rapidly develop. A photo from the Cagayan Provincial Information Office of the Cagayan River overflowing in Tuguegarao City. Super Typhoon Usagi On November 11, the JMA named Tropical Storm Usagi and upgraded the storm to a Category 1 typhoon a day later. On November 13, warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear resulted in Usagi undergoing explosive intensification. The storm strengthened to an astonishing Category 5 super typhoon in less than 24 hours, with a well-defined pinhole eye and unofficial sustained fierce winds of 175 mph. Near peak intensity, a high-resolution satellite measured an eye temperature of about 15°C, which was impressively warm to capture for a pinhole eye. Due to some zenith angle, which measures how far a satellite is from being directly overhead, the actual temperature was likely higher. Afterward, Usagi rapidly weakened as it approached Luzon province and made landfall in Baggao, Philippines on November 14, only three days after Toraji's landfall. Land interaction caused the storm's eye and structure to collapse. After crossing northern Luzon, Usagi gradually weakened as a tropical storm and dissipated near southwestern Taiwan. High-resolution satellite shows Usagi's pinhole eye at its peak intensity The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reported that over 850,000 people were impacted. Over 200 cities experienced power outages and at least 120,000 houses were damaged. In Gonzaga, some houses were swept away and uprooted trees collapsed a bridge. Although there have been no reported fatalities, damages totaled more than $9 million. Logs swept by rampaging river currents collapsed a concrete bridge Super Typhoon Man-yi On November 9, the JMA named Tropical Storm Man-yi and initially peaked as a relatively strong tropical storm. However, wind shear displaced convection and disorganized the system. After passing the Northern Mariana Islands, wind shear subsided on November 14, allowing the storm to resume strengthening. Man-yi underwent rapid intensification and had a 75 mph increase in winds within 24 hours. On November 16, Man-yi peaked as a powerful Category 5 super typhoon, with violent unofficial winds of 175 mph. A high-resolution satellite revealed a stunningly warm eye temperature of about 26°C. Later that day, the ferocious high-end Category 4 storm slammed into Catanduanes. The following day, Category 4 Typhoon Man-yi made a second landfall in Dipaculao, Philippines. After crossing the Philippines and weakening to a tropical storm, Man-yi restrengthened to a Category 1 typhoon, but increasing wind shear caused the storm to degenerate into a remnant low on November 19. Super Typhoon Man-yi nearing peak intensity and barreling toward the Philippines Man-yi was the last storm of this astonishing November typhoon train for the Philippines. Unfortunately, the NDRRMC reported that Man-yi killed 14 people and damages exceeded $58 million. The powerful typhoon damaged or destroyed more than 75,000 houses, impacted a staggering 4 million people, caused widespread flooding, and rendered roads impassable due to landslides. Camille Gianan, Provincial Information Officer of Catanduanes, said "[many people] have not recovered from the previous storms when the super typhoon hit. It's been one calamity after another." The Philippine's departments, such as the Department of Social Welfare and Development, and the Taipei Economic and Cultural Officer donated a total of over $3 million in humanitarian aid and disaster relief supplies to impacted families. Several houses damaged and destroyed in Viga, Catanduanes province An important aspect related to the November typhoon train is that in December 2024, a study by World Weather Attribution concluded that climate change increased the risk of at least three Category 3-5 typhoons hitting the Philippines in a year by 25%. Typhoons Yinxing, Toraji, Usagi, and Man-yi were consecutive extreme events, exacerbating the crisis and hindering efforts for populations to recover. The Philippines has advanced a proactive disaster risk management framework, exemplified by proposed legislation to implement anticipatory action under a State of Imminent Disaster. This approach will enable the government to carry out preemptive measures ahead of calamities, mitigating impacts and enhancing preparedness of natural disasters. Conclusion The November typhoon train was deadly and destructive. All four typhoons (Category 4 Yinxing, Category 2 Toraji, Category 5s Usagi and Man-yi) caused widespread devastation and flooding in many areas across the Philippines. Unfortunately, communities had little time to recover and prepare, and these powerful storms overwhelmed and exhausted supplies of emergency responders. The typhoons exemplify the challenges to adapt to back-to-back extreme weather events. As a result, there needs to be a structural plan to combat such disasters. The aforementioned risk management framework will hopefully make affected populations more resilient to future storms. Citations https://www.rappler.com/philippines/weather/typhoon-marce-update-pagasa-forecast-november-7-2024-5pm/ https://apnews.com/article/philippines-typhoon-yinxing-51b689a712c6bb793cc7d08929eb3143 https://plus.inquirer.net/news/over-60000-families-across-ph-in-distress-over-flooding-ocd/ https://www.brigadanews.ph/typhoon-nika-makes-landfall-in-aurora-pagasa-issues-severe-weather-warnings/ https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/927025/nika-ofel-damage/story/ https://www.cdrc-phil.com/typhoon-nika-i-n-toraji-situation-report/ https://archive.ph/20241111202259/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq33.rjtd..txt https://www.insidenova.com/news/national/as-philippines-picks-up-from-usagi-a-fresh-storm-bears-down/article/_2141de2f-1169-591c-ad81-b504de9cefee.html https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/other/as-philippines-picks-up-from-ofel-new-typhoon-pepito-bears-down/ar-AA1u7INU?ocid=weather-verthp-feeds https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/typhoon-man-yi-worsens-crisis-in-philippines-caused-by-multiple-back-to-back-storms https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1238540 https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2024/11/17/trail-of-destruction-as-typhoon-man-yi-lashes-the-philippines https://www.carbonbrief.org/record-breaking-philippines-typhoon-season-was-supercharged-by-climate-change/ https://web.senate.gov.ph/press_release/2024/0716_estradaj1.asp
- Weekly Outlook January 20-26
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the winter storm yesterday. This will be one of the coldest weeks for this winter. Here is what you need to know. Monday 1/20 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Bitterly cold tonight. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -3°F. Daytime high of 27°F and nighttime low of 5°F. Tuesday 1/21 : Mostly cloudy. 🌥️ Dangerously cold. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -5°F. Daytime high of 19°F and nighttime low of 2°F. Wednesday 1/22 : Mostly sunny skies, 🌤️ then increasing clouds in the afternoon and evening. 🌥️ Frigid conditions. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -3°F. Daytime high of 21°F and nighttime low of 6°F. Thursday 1/23 : Partly cloudy ⛅ and cold. 🥶 Daytime high of 28°F and nighttime low of 13°F. Friday 1/24 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 32°F and nighttime low of 12°F. Saturday 1/25 : Sunny. ☀️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Sunday 1/26 : Mostly cloudy skies. 🌥️ Daytime high of 42°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine and clouds accompanied by bitterly cold conditions. Please keep yourself warm and wear appropriate clothing to avoid frostbite and hypothermia!
- Mid-week Outlook January 16-19
Hello everyone! The past few days have been relatively sunny and pleasant. However, precipitation will arrive very soon. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 1/16 : Partly cloudy in the morning, ⛅ then increasing clouds 🌥️ and snow showers starting in the afternoon and continuing into the evening. 🌨️ A dusting of snow is expected. Daytime high of 31°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Friday 1/17 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 27°F. Saturday 1/18 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️, followed by occasional showers in the afternoon and evening. 🌧️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 28°F. Sunday 1/19 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ with snow showers in the afternoon. 🌨️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 16°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine, rain, and snow showers for the next few days. For early next week, an arctic blast will likely plunge nighttime lows into the single digits.
- Weekly Outlook January 13-19
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the snow this past weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 1/13 : Partly cloudy ⛅ with an isolated shower or two. 🌦️ Wind gusts near or over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Tuesday 1/14 : Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 31°F and nighttime low of 18°F. Wednesday 1/15 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 32°F and nighttime low of 16°F. Thursday 1/16 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Daytime high of 30°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Friday 1/17: Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Saturday 1/18 : Cloudy skies ☁️ accompanied by occasional rain showers. 🌧️ Daytime high of 45°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Sunday 1/19 : Mostly cloudy skies in the morning, 🌥️ then rain and snow showers in the afternoon. 🌧️🌨️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine, clouds, and wind for majority of the week. Afterward, rain showers and some snow possibly mixing in this weekend.
- Mid-week Outlook January 9-12
Hello everyone! This week has been sunny and blustery. However, some snow will arrive this Saturday. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 1/9 : Mostly sunny 🌤️ and blustery, with wind gusts over 40 mph. 🌬️ Daytime high of 33°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Friday 1/10 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ A few wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Afterward, snow showers will begin during the overnight hours. 🌨️ Daytime high of 39°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Saturday 1/11 : Light snow or snow showers in the morning. 🌨️ Then, clouds will gradually clear in the afternoon. ⛅ Less than an inch of snow expected. Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Sunday 1/12 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine, wind, and snow for the next few days.
- Weekly Outlook January 6-12
Hello everyone! The last few days have been chilly and sunny, and there were a few snow showers/flurries. Let's see what this week brings. Here is what you need to know. Monday 1/6 : Snow throughout the morning and afternoon. ❄️ Afterward, clouds will gradually break up during the overnight hours. About an inch of snow expected. Be careful driving in snowy and icy conditions! ⚠️ Daytime high of 31°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Tuesday 1/7 : Mostly sunny and blustery. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 35 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 30°F and nighttime low of 18°F. Wednesday 1/8 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 28°F and nighttime low of 15°F. Thursday 1/9 : Partly cloudy and blustery. ⛅ Wind gusts over 40 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 29°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Friday 1/10 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Occasional wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Saturday 1/11 : Cloudy skies ☁️ accompanied by snow. 🌨️ Watching for a potential winter storm. Daytime high of 31°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Sunday 1/12 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunny, snowy, and blustery conditions throughout the week.
- Mid-week Outlook January 2-5
Hello everyone! The rain has finally ended with colder air ushering in. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 1/2 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ with a few snow showers in the vicinity this afternoon. 🌨️ Afterward, some flurries during the overnight hours. 🌨️ Wind gusts over 40 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 28°F. Friday 1/3 : Partly cloudy skies in the morning ⛅ followed by mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ with a slight chance of a snow shower or two. 🌨️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Saturday 1/4 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 33°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Sunday 1/5 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Snow will likely start during the overnight hours or early morning on Monday. 🌨️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Concluding thoughts : Partly cloudy and windy with some snow showers for the next few days.
- Weekly Outlook December 30, 2024-January 5, 2025
Hello everyone! This weekend has been rainy and such conditions will continue for the next few days. However, drier weather is expected to arrive later this week. Here is what you need to know. Monday 12/30 : Lingering isolated showers in the early morning hours 🌧️ followed by partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 58°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Tuesday 12/31 : Happy New Year's Eve! 🎉 Partly cloudy skies ⛅ followed by increasing clouds and rain in the evening and overnight hours. 🌧️ Rain may be heavy at times. Daytime high of 52°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Wednesday 1/1/2025 : Happy New Year!! 🥳 Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ with a few showers in the afternoon. 🌧️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 48°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Thursday 1/2 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 40 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Friday 1/3 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Saturday 1/4 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 21°F. Sunday 1/5 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Concluding thoughts : Showers and clouds for the first half of this week, then sunny, cold, and windy conditions for the latter half. Happy New Year everyone!
- Mid-week Outlook December 26-29
Hello everyone! This week has been chilly and we had a White Christmas! 🎉🎄 Here is what you need to know. Thursday 12/26 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 16°F. Friday 12/27 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ During the overnight hours, freezing rain ⚠️ transitioning to all rain. 🌧️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Saturday 12/28 : Cloudy skies ☁️ with periods of rain throughout the day. 🌧️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 39°F. Sunday 12/29 : Showers in the morning followed by a steady rain in the evening and overnight hours. 🌧️ Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 51°F. Concluding thoughts : Cold on Friday, then warmer and rainy conditions for the weekend.
- Weekly Outlook December 23-29
Hello everyone! This weekend has been sunny and frigid. However, temperatures will start to gradually warm up throughout the week. Here is what you need to know. Monday 12/23 : Mostly sunny and cold. 🌤️🥶 Daytime high of 29°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Tuesday 12/24 : Merry Christmas Eve! 🎄 Snow in the morning 🌨️, then gradually becoming mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Wednesday 12/25 : Merry Christmas! 🎄 Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Thursday 12/26 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 18°F. Friday 12/27 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Saturday 12/28 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ followed by showers in the afternoon. 🌧️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 38°F. Sunday 12/29 : Periods of rain. 🌧️ Daytime high of 53°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Concluding thoughts : Some snow on Christmas Eve, then sunny skies for the next few days. Afterward, showers during the weekend. Happy Holidays!
- Mid-week Outlook December 19-22
Hello everyone! The past few days have been a mix of sun and rain. Much colder weather lies ahead. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 12/19 : Mostly sunny in the morning 🌤️ followed by increasing clouds in the afternoon. 🌥️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Friday 12/20 : Cloudy skies ☁️ accompanied by occasional snow showers. 🌨️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Saturday 12/21 : A few possible snow showers during the early morning hours 🌨️ followed by partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. ⛅ Chilly. 🥶 Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 33°F and nighttime low of 12°F. Sunday 12/22 : Sunny and frigid. ☀️🥶 Daytime high of 26°F and nighttime low of 7°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunny and chilly conditions for the next few days along with some snow showers.
- Weekly Outlook December 16-22
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed your weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 12/16 : Rain in the morning 🌧️ followed by cloudy skies. ☁️ Afterward, rain during the overnight hours. 🌧️ Daytime high of 46°F and nighttime low of 44°F. Tuesday 12/17 : Showers and cloudy skies in the morning. 🌧️ ☁️ Then, partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. ⛅ Daytime high of 57°F and nighttime low of 31°F. Wednesday 12/18 : Partly cloudy skies in the morning ⛅ followed by increasing clouds and showers in the afternoon or evening. 🌧️ Daytime high of 48°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Thursday 12/19 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Friday 12/20 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ with a chance of a few snow showers overnight. 🌨️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Saturday 12/21 : Partly cloudy and cold. ⛅ Daytime high of 33°F and nighttime low of 14°F. Sunday 12/22 : Sunny and very cold. ☀️🥶 Daytime high of 25°F and nighttime low of 8°F. Concluding thoughts : Rain in the first half of the week followed by sunny and colder weather.