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- Mid-week Outlook October 4-7
Hello everyone! This is your mid-week outlook for Chatham, NJ. Wednesday 10/4: Sunny and hot 🌞. Daytime high of 85°F and nighttime low of 52°F. Thursday 10/5: Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 78°F and nighttime low of 58°F. Friday 10/6: Intermittent showers followed by rain during the overnight hours 🌧️. Daytime high of 74°F and nighttime low of 63°F. Saturday 10/7: Rain in the morning followed by showers in the afternoon 🌧️. The daytime high should occur in the morning before temperatures decrease throughout the day from a cold front. Daytime high of 67°F and a nighttime low of 46°F. Concluding thoughts: Enjoy the warm temperatures for the next couple of days before cooler and rainy conditions arrive.
- Tropics Outlook October 2
Hello everyone! Here is the tropics outlook for October 2 which covers the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe is struggling against moderate wind shear and is maintaining its intensity at 50 mph (85 km/h). However, the system is making its closest approach to the Leeward Islands, with heavy rainfall remaining the primary threat. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Antigua & Barbuda. Rina degenerated to a remnant low yesterday and now it is almost gone. Eastern Pacific Invest 98E is quickly organizing and has a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next 2 days. Impacts on any land remain uncertain. An area of interest was marked south of Oaxaca, Mexico, and has a 60% chance of forming into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Western Pacific Typhoon Koinu continues to rapidly intensify and is now a high-end Category 3 typhoon with sustained winds of 125 mph (200 km/h). The typhoon is heading northwest as shear increases and will impact southern Taiwan in about 2 days. Preparations should be underway for Taiwan. Invest 96W will not form into a tropical depression.
- Weekly Outlook October 1-7
Hello everyone and welcome to the month of October! This is your weekly outlook for Chatham, NJ. Sunday 10/1: Sunny skies and warmer 🌞. Daytime high of 78°F and nighttime low of 55°F. Monday 10/2: Mostly sunny skies 🌤️. Daytime high of 79°F and nighttime low of 56°F. Tuesday 10/3: Sunny skies and pleasant 🌞. Daytime high of 81°F and nighttime low of 58°F. Wednesday 10/4: Sunny 🌞. Daytime high of 82°F and nighttime low of 56°F. Thursday 10/5: Increasing clouds throughout the afternoon 🌥. Daytime high of 73°F and nighttime low of 61°F. Friday 10/6: Overcast skies accompanied by occasional showers throughout the day 🌧️. Daytime high of 72°F and nighttime low of 63°F. Saturday 10/7: Periods of rain 🌧️. Daytime high of 67°F and nighttime low of 47°F. Concluding thoughts: Take advantage of the sunny and warm conditions before the second half of the week brings rain.
- MAJOR Local Rain Update
Hello everyone! We are ending the week with a washout. The amount of rain forecast for New Jersey and Long Island, New York, have significantly increased. Here is what you need to know. Showers are occurring for parts of New Jersey and western Long Island. Rain should become more widespread by Friday morning. Areas in northwestern NJ are expected to receive 2-3 inches of rain from Friday morning to Saturday morning. Areas in central and northeastern NJ are expected to receive at least 4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts of >6 inches depending on where the rain bands set up. There is a slight risk for excessive rainfall for the majority of those areas. Some parts of northeastern and central NJ are under a moderate risk of excessive rainfall. Watch out for localized flooding or even extensive street flooding is possible. Streams and rivers may also flood their banks due to heavy rain.
- Tropics Outlook September 28
Hello everyone! Here is a tropics outlook on September 28 for the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe continues to become further disorganized due to a combination of dry air and wind shear. Despite the challenges in forecasting Philippe's future track, the storm should stay out to sea and not cause impacts for the Leeward Islands. Tropical storm Rina was named earlier today and gradual strengthening is expected early next week when shear decreases. The storm is expected to not impact land. Eastern Pacific The area of interest in the western part of this basin will not form. A new area of interest has a 20% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Western Pacific Invest 93W seems to be relocating its center underneath the deep convection as its old center dissipates. The disturbance has a 80% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days and will continue to head west. North Indian Invest 99A has rapidly organized throughout the day and should become a tropical cyclone tomorrow. The disturbance is meandering northwest of Chicalim, India.
- Mid-week Outlook September 27-30
Hello! This is your mid-week outlook for Chatham, New Jersey. Wednesday 9/27: Morning clouds will clear out to partly cloudy skies in the afternoon ⛅. Daytime high 68°F and nighttime low 47°F. Thursday 9/28: Partly cloudy in the morning followed by mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon 🌥️. Daytime high 66°F and nighttime low 54°F. Friday 9/29: Periods of rain 🌧️. Daytime high 62°F and nighttime low 55°F. Saturday 9/30: Morning showers followed by overcast skies in the afternoon 🌧️. Daytime high 68°F and nighttime low 53°F. Concluding thoughts: Pleasant conditions for the next couple of days before rain affects our area on Friday.
- Tropics Outlook September 27
Hello everyone! Here is a tropics outlook on September 27 for the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe continues to struggle against dry air and strong wind shear. The storm has slightly weakened to sustained winds of 45 mph (75 km/h). Philippe is expected to head generally west and degenerate to a remnant low later this week. Convection is becoming more organized around Invest 91L and the disturbance has a 90% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days. The system is probably going to stay out to sea and encounter problems with wind shear. Eastern Pacific The area of interest has a 30% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days as the disturbance heads west and stays out to sea. Western Pacific The remnants of 13W continue to bring heavy rainfall across parts of Vietnam and Laos. 13W's remnants are expected to track west and eventually dissipate. Invest 93W was recently designated just west of the Mariana Islands and has a 30% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days.
- Local Rain Update
Hello everyone! As the remnants of Ophelia slowly move away from the mid-Atlantic, here are some rainfall totals for the past 72 hours throughout Morris County, NJ. Chatham: 2.59 inches. Madison: 3.26 inches. Randolph Township: 3.33 inches. Mendham: 2.25 inches. Parsipanny: 3.11 inches. Mount Arlington: 3.09 inches. Long Hill Township: 3.08 inches. Succasunna: 3.1 inches. Califon: 2.99 inches. Basking Ridge: 3.28 inches. Morristown: 2.82 inches. Mine Hill Township: 3.27 inches. Denville Township: 2.07 inches. Harding Township: 2.63 inches. Morris Plains: 2.76 inches. Ironia: 2.76 inches. Morris Township: 2.78 inches. Stirling: 2.76 inches. Overall, several towns have recorded around 2 and 3 inches of rain. Gloomy conditions should clear out with sunshine later this week and daytime temperatures will rise back to the upper 60Fs and potentially the low 70Fs.
- Tropics Outlook September 25
Hello everyone! This is a tropics outlook for the Northern Hemisphere. Here is what you need to know. North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe has not intensified as wind shear continues to disrupt the system. Since wind shear is not expected to abate for the rest of the week, a gradual decline in intensity is forecast. Philippe is also still expected to stay out to sea as it heads generally northwest. Invest 91L has a 90% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Conditions are expected to be slightly more favorable for intensification but shear will likely remain the primary issue. Eastern Pacific A new area of interest has a 20% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days in the western part of the this basin. Western Pacific Tropical depression 13W was designated just east of central Vietnam and made landfall about 12 hours ago with sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h). Heavy rainfall remains the primary threat for those living in central Vietnam and central Laos. Invest 92W will not form.
- Tropics Outlook September 24
Hello everyone! Here is a tropics outlook for September 24. North Atlantic The remnants of Ophelia continue to bring rain across parts of the mid-Atlantic and new England. Rainfall should end by Tuesday. Tropical storm Philippe slightly strengthens but wind shear continues to hinder more intensification. Shear should somewhat subside later this week. The storm is expected to stay out to sea. Invest 91L is designated in the eastern Atlantic and has a 70% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days. A new area of interest located northeast of the Yucatan Peninsula has a 10% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days. Eastern Pacific Tropical depression 14E degenerated to a remnant low as conditions were unfavorable for additional development. Western Pacific Invest 91W has recently developed better convection and a defined center. 91W unofficially has a 50% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days. Invest 92W is still not expected to form.
- Weekly Outlook September 24-30
Hello everyone, this is your weekly outlook for Chatham, NJ! Sunday 9/24: On and off rain throughout the day 🌧️. Watch out for potential localized flooding. Winds are a moderate breeze. Daytime high 62°F and nighttime low 55°F. Monday 9/25: Light rain in the morning followed by occasional showers in the afternoon 🌧️. Winds are a moderate breeze. Daytime high 60°F and nighttime low 52°F. Tuesday 9/26: Morning overcast skies with somewhat clear in the afternoon 🌥️. Winds are a gentle breeze. Daytime high 64°F and nighttime low 45°F. Wednesday 9/27: Partly cloudy 🌥️. Winds are a gentle breeze. Daytime high 65°F and nighttime low 44°F. Thursday 9/28: Partly cloudy 🌥️. Winds are a light breeze. Daytime high 68°F and nighttime low 47°F. Friday 9/29: Partly cloudy and pleasant 🌥️. Winds are a light breeze. Daytime high 71°F and nighttime low 49°F. Saturday 9/30: Sunny ☀️. Winds are a gentle breeze. Daytime high 73°F and nighttime low 54°F. Concluding thoughts: Gloomy start to the week from the remnants of Ophelia, but warmer and sunnier weather will return by midweek.
- Tropics Outlook September 23
Hello everyone! Here is a tropics outlook for September 23. North Atlantic Tropical Storm Ophelia made landfall near Emerald Isle, North Carolina earlier today at 6:15 am EDT with sustained winds of 70 mph (110 km/h). Due to land interaction, the storm has weakened to a tropical depression. Its center will continue to move northeast through Virginia and bring heavy rainfall from Virginia to Long Island. Tropical storm Philippe was named earlier this afternoon. While shear continues to inhibit significant development, conditions should improve later next week to become a stronger tropical storm. A new area of interest in the eastern Atlantic has a 20% to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression 14E was designated this afternoon and is expected to become the next tropical storm of the season as 14E heads generally west. Western Pacific Invest 91W has a 30% chance to become a tropical depression in the South China Sea within the next 2 days. Invest 92W is not expected to form.