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  • Weekly Outlook February 24-March 2

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the sunshine this past weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 2/24 : Mostly sunny, 🌤️ then more clouds in the late afternoon hours. 🌥️ Daytime high of 54°F and nighttime low of 37°F. Tuesday 2/25 : Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies in the morning, 🌥️ then a few rain showers in the afternoon or evening. 🌧️ Daytime high of 57°F and nighttime low of 35°F. Wednesday 2/26 : Mostly sunny, 🌤️ then increasing clouds in the afternoon. 🌥️ Showers during the overnight hours. 🌧️ Daytime high of 54°F and nighttime low of 38°F. Thursday 2/27 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ accompanied by occasional showers. 🌧️ Daytime high of 58°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Friday 2/28 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 46°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Saturday 3/1 : Mostly cloudy, 🌥️ then a few possible showers in the evening. 🌧️ Daytime high of 58°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Sunday 3/2 : Sunny. ☀️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 33°F and nighttime low of 15°F. Cold. 🥶 Concluding thoughts : Sunshine, clouds, rain showers, and warmer conditions throughout the week.

  • December: Powerful Cyclone Chido and the Deep South Destructive Tornado Outbreak

    One may expect a chilly and snowy December across the US. However, portions of the southern US were shaken up by dozens of tornadoes in late December. In the Southern Hemisphere, Cyclone Chido unfortunately caused widespread devastation in Mayotte and Mozambique. Let's dive into how these disastrous and deadly events unfolded. Cyclone Chido On December 7, the Météo-France La Réunion (MFR) monitored a disturbance east of Diego Garcia. On December 10, the MFR named Tropical Storm Chido. A day later, the storm rapidly intensified to a Category 4 major cyclone due to low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures. On December 12, Chido peaked as a high-end powerful Category 4 cyclone with fierce sustained winds of 155 mph. Near the storm's peak, a high-resolution satellite revealed a stunningly warm 24°C eye temperature. Afterward, the storm underwent an eyewall replacement cycle , a process where a hurricane or cyclone's existing inner eyewall weakens and a new, larger eyewall replaces it, causing the storm to temporarily weaken. Although Chido completed the cycle and briefly re-intensified, downsloping and increasing wind shear disrupted the core as it passed northern Madagascar. Downsloping is the process that occurs when air is forced to descend a mountain, resulting in a warming and drying effect of the air. Thus, downsloping caused dry air to intrude Chido's core, further weakening the storm to a Category 3 cyclone. On December 14, Chido re-strengthened to a Category 4 major cyclone, making landfalls in Mayotte and Mozambique. After rapidly weakening over Mozambique, the storm dissipated on December 16. Category 4 Cyclone Chido near peak intensity Close up view of Chido's warm and distinct eye Cyclone Chido devastated multiple areas from Agaléga, Mauritius to Mozambique. Chido wrecked havoc and destroyed 95% of North Agaléga and 98% of South Agaléga's buildings due to strong wind gusts and high waves. Although northern Madagascar was mostly spared from the worst of Chido, others were not as lucky. Chido was considered the worst storm to affect Mayotte in 90 years and nearly wiped out the entire island, with 90% of the island's structures destroyed. About 100,000 people were displaced and a staggering 35,000 homes were destroyed. Mayotte recorded shocking storm surges as high as 28 feet and the Dzaoudzi–Pamandzi International Airport suffered severe damage due to wind gusts up to 140 mph. Although the official death toll is 39 in Mayotte, the actual number of deaths could be in the hundreds. The territory's prefect, French prefect François-Xavier Bieuville, believed it would be extremely hard to count fatalities, partially due to the Muslim tradition of burying individuals within 24 hours, and stated that "there will be certainly be several hundreds." In Mozambique, unfortunately, more than 120 were killed and 2 million people were affected. Shockingly, at least 150,000 houses were completely or partially destroyed. In rural areas, Chido damaged 100% of homes in Mecúfi District, with 99% destroyed in the town of Murrebue. In conclusion, preliminary statistics suggest that Chido caused 172 fatalities (though this death toll will certainly increase) and more than $3.9 billion in damages. NGO Medecins du Monde provided a photo of a devastated hill on the French territory of Mayotte. Destroyed buildings and debris in Mecúfi district, Mozambique Tornado Outbreak Between December 28-29, 2024, a late-season widespread tornado outbreak impacted the Deep South, bringing heavy rain and damaging winds. On December 28, the Storm Prediction Center issued a moderate risk for severe storms in parts of eastern Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. High dewpoints from 60–70°F would lead to lots of atmospheric instability, which causes rapid changes in temperature, pressure, and wind, leading to severe weather. A squall line (a line of thunderstorms) and discrete supercells were expected. Unfortunately, there were 4 fatalities and 19 injuries. In total, 108 tornadoes were confirmed, making this destructive event the second largest December outbreak in recorded US history. A map of confirmed tornadoes and tornado warnings by the National Weather Service during the tornado outbreak. The Enhanced Fujita (EF) scale classifies tornado intensity based on the severity of damage. An EF3 tornado causes severe damage and has winds of 136-165 mph. There were two notable EF3 tornadoes during this outbreak. A high-end EF3 tornado, with ferocious winds of around 160 mph, impacted Chambers and Jefferson counties in Texas and traveled for an astonishing nearly 70 miles. The tornado destroyed sections of multiple buildings, especially in Sabine Ranch, caused significant roof damage, and downed several telephone poles. After heading east-northeast on the ground for a stunning nearly two hours, the tornado dissipated over Sabine National Wildlife Refuge. Luckily, there were no fatalities associated with that strong tornado. The second EF3 tornado started in Bude, Mississipppi. The twister headed northeast toward Franklin, Mississippi and destroyed some buildings, and damaged homes and buildings near McCall Creek. In the end, the tornado's large width peaked at just under a mile and traveled for nearly 30 miles. This destructive tornado turned over several trailer homes, uprooted trees, and inflicted severe roof damage. EF3 tornado south of Bude, Mississippi EF3 tornado damage to a low-rise building in Sabine Ranch, Texas. EF3 tornado damage to an office building in Franklin, Mississippi. Individuals should heed tornado or hurricane/cyclone watches and warnings in order to ensure safety and save lives. Here are the key points to prepare for hurricanes or cyclones: 1. Create an emergency kit with non-perishable food and have a battery-powered weather radio, water, medications, important documents (e.g. passports and personal identification), and other essential supplies. 2. Trim trees and shrubs around your home to minimize damage from falling branches and limbs. Install storm shutters or plywood to protect windows and doors. 3. Develop an emergency plan with family members and designate a meeting point outside your home. 4. Plan paths for evacuation routes to leave your home. 5. Follow evacuation orders. If instructed to evacuate, leave your home immediately. Here are the key points to prepare for tornadoes: 1. Know the signs of a tornado. There may be a rotating funnel-shaped cloud, a dark or green-colored sky, approaching cloud of debris, large hail, or a loud roar that sounds similar to a freight train. 2. Identify the safest place to take shelter. Safe places include a basement, an interior room without windows, and a storm cellar. 3. Create a tornado survival kit. Items include 3 day supply of water (1 gallon per person per day), first aid kit, battery-powered weather radio, flashlight, copies of important documents or papers, prescription medications, cash, can opener, and non-perishable food. 4. Practice an emergency plan. Identify ways to exit rooms and a safe place for household members and/or pets to gather during a tornado. 5. Stay away from windows, doors, and outside walls. If you are on a road, do not go under an overpass or bridge due to a greater risk of you being injured by flying debris and a highway bridge may act as a wind tunnel, intensifying the powerful winds. You are safer in a low, flat area, such as lying in a ditch to protect yourself from flying debris. Conclusion The tornado outbreak and Cyclone Chido were unfortunately natural disasters that affected thousands of people and will cause a long-lasting impact to many communities. Both calamities represent a reminder of how individuals need to prepare as much as possible in advance of natural disasters. Many people in Mayotte were unprepared and municipal authorities did not seem to take the threat of a cyclone seriously. A combination of shanty towns, poor infrastructure, and lack of preparedness led to the deadly catastrophe in Mayotte. Let's hope that other countries and communities assist areas like Mayotte to build stronger infrastructure that can resist high winds and flooding. Citations https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/business/international/2024/12/17/cyclone-chido-leaves-death-damage-from-mauritius-to-mozambique/ https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20241214-cyclone-batters-french-indian-ocean-island-of-mayotte https://reliefweb.int/report/mayotte-france/cyclone-chido-vanuatu-earthquake-leave-devastation-their-wake https://www.dw.com/en/mayotte-prefect-fears-hundreds-dead-after-cyclone-chido/a-71063197 https://reliefweb.int/report/mozambique/mozambique-intense-tropical-cyclone-chido-flash-update-no-2-17-december-2024-enpt https://reliefweb.int/report/mozambique/mozambique-tropical-cyclone-chido-flash-appeal-january-june-2025 https://www.npr.org/2024/12/16/g-s1-38396/dead-mayotte-cyclone-chido https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day1otlk_20241228_2000.html https://www.beaumontenterprise.com/news/article/jefferson-county-saw-tornado-weekend-20007005.php https://www.dailyleader.com/2025/01/04/franklin-county-tornado-was-ef-3-20-plus-storms-hit-ms-la/ https://uwc.211ct.org/how-to-prepare-and-safely-weather-a-hurricanetornado/ https://www.cdc.gov/hurricanes/safety/index.html https://emsaok.gov/resource-library/summer-safety-tips/creating-a-tornado-survival-kit/ https://www.cdc.gov/tornadoes/safety/index.html https://www.ready.gov/tornadoes

  • Mid-week Outlook February 20-23

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the sunshine for the past few days. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 2/20 : Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies in the morning, 🌥️ then mostly cloudy to cloudy skies in the afternoon. ☁️ Some snow showers or flurries in the late afternoon and/or evening. 🌨️ Daytime high of 30°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Friday 2/21 : Sunny. ☀️ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 16°F. Saturday 2/22 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Sunday 2/23 : Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 27°F. Concluding thoughts : Some flurries or snow showers later today, then relatively sunny for Friday and the weekend.

  • Weekly Outlook February 17-23

    Hello everyone! I hope you all had a great weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 2/17 : Partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 40 mph are expected. 🌬️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 15°F. Tuesday 2/18 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 27°F and nighttime low of 13°F. Wednesday 2/19 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Daytime high of 30°F and nighttime low of 15°F. Thursday 2/20 : Cloudy ☁️ with occasional snow showers. 🌨️ Daytime high of 29°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Friday 2/21 : Sunny. ☀️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 17°F. Saturday 2/22 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Sunday 2/23 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunny, windy, and some snow for this week.

  • Mid-week Outlook February 13-16

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the snow and sunshine this week. This stormy pattern will continue for the next few days. Below the Mid-week Outlook are a Wintry Event Outlook and special news. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 2/13 : Morning clouds with showers, drizzle, and fog. 🌧️🌫️ Afterward, cloudy to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. 🌥️ Evening and overnight wind gusts of 35 mph are possible. 🌬️Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 28°F. Friday 2/14 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Saturday 2/15 : Cloudy in the morning, ☁️ then snow in the afternoon. ❄️ Snow is expected to transition to sleet in the evening and then rain overnight. ❄️🌧️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Sunday 2/16 : Periods of rain. 🌧️ A rumble of thunder or two are possible. ⛈️ Rain will likely end during the evening hours. Evening and overnight wind gusts of over 40 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 49°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Concluding thoughts : A mix of snow, rain, and sunshine. Wintry Event Outlook February 15-16 Saturday afternoon : Cloudy skies, ☁️ then occasional flurries and snow showers. 🌨️ Saturday evening : Light to moderate snow will spread across our area. ❄️ Snowfall rates are forecast to reach near 1 in/hr at times. Saturday night : Snow is expected to transition to sleet around 8-9 pm. ❄️🌧️ Afterward, any wintry precipitation will change to all rain near 11 pm. 🌧️ Sunday morning : Cloudy with occasional showers. 🌧️ Sunday afternoon : Periods of rain. Rain may be heavy and exceed rates of 0.5-1 in/hr. 🌧️ A rumble of thunder or two is possible. ⛈️ Sunday evening : Rain will end around the evening and skies will clear overnight. Total snowfall and sleet is forecast to accumulate to about 1.5-2.5 inches. Total rainfall is forecast to reach 1.5-2 inches. Be careful of icy conditions! Special News I have fantastic news to share with you all. I am in a Marine Sciences class and we participated in a nationwide drawing contest called "Adopt-a-Float." The purpose of the floats is to record data, such as measuring oxygen, temperature, and pH, in the Southern Ocean near Antarctica. I recently found out that I won the nationwide competition and the judges unanimously voted for my drawing. Hooray! 😊🎉

  • Weekly Outlook February 10-16

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the snow and sleet this past weekend. The stormy pattern continues. Here is what you need to know. Monday 2/10 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Tuesday 2/11 : Mostly cloudy in the morning, 🌥️ then cloudy in the afternoon. ☁️ Light snow will likely begin during the overnight hours. 🌨️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Wednesday 2/12 : Snow showers will probably end by the early morning hours. 🌨️ Mostly cloudy skies for the rest of the day. 🌥️ Then, clouds will build up in the evening and the next wintry system will arrive. Snow will likely begin during the overnight hours. ❄️ Afterward, snow is expected to transition to sleet and freezing rain. ❄️🌧️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Thursday 2/13 : Any wintry precipitation ❄️🌧️ is forecast to transition to rain during the early morning hours. 🌧️ After the rain clears, mostly cloudy to partly cloudy in the afternoon. 🌥️ Daytime high of 42°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Friday 2/14 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 19°F. Saturday 2/15 : Mostly cloudy in the morning, 🌥️ then snow showers or light snow in the afternoon. 🌨️ Snow may transition to sleet and rain overnight. ❄️🌧️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 33°F. Sunday 2/16 : Showers throughout the day. 🌧️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 18°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine and wintry precipitation throughout the week. Be careful of icy conditions!

  • Mid-week Outlook February 6-9

    Hello everyone! An active storm pattern has been set up. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 2/6 : Sleet and some snow during the early morning hours, ❄️🌧️ then changing to sleet and freezing rain showers. ☔❄️ Afterward, cloudy skies ☁️ with a few lingering rain showers in the afternoon. 🌧️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Friday 2/7 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 39°F and nighttime low of 21°F. Saturday 2/8 : Mostly cloudy in the morning, 🌥️ then cloudy skies in the afternoon. ☁️ Snow will begin during the evening hours. 🌨️ Afterward, snow may mix with sleet and freezing rain overnight. ❄️🌧️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 27°F. Sunday 2/9 : Any sleet and/or freezing rain will likely change back to snow during the early morning hours. 🌨️ Clouds will gradually clear in the afternoon. ⛅ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunshine and wintry precipitation for the next few days. Be careful of icy conditions!

  • Weekly Outlook February 3-9

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the sunshine and snow this past weekend. February is typically the snowiest month for New Jersey, and a relatively active storm pattern may commence. Here is what you need to know. Monday 2/3 : Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies. 🌥️ Daytime high of 47°F and nighttime low of 38°F. Tuesday 2/4 : Partly cloudy in the morning, ⛅ then mostly sunny in the afternoon. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Wednesday 2/5 : Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. 🌥️ Wintry precipitation will likely start during the overnight hours. 🌨️🧊 Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Thursday 2/6 : Wintry mix in the morning, 🌨️🧊 followed by rain showers in the afternoon. 🌧️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Friday 2/7 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Saturday 2/8 : Mostly cloudy, 🌥️ followed by a wintry mix in the afternoon. 🌨️🧊 Afterward, rain showers during the overnight hours. 🌧️ Daytime high of 36°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Sunday 2/9 : Lingering morning showers, 🌧️ then partly cloudy in the afternoon. ⛅ Daytime high of 42°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunshine and wintry mix throughout the week.

  • Mid-week Outlook January 30-February 2

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the sunshine. Unfortunately, rain is on its way. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 1/30 : Partly cloudy. ⛅ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Friday 1/31 : Freezing rain will likely start during the early morning hours. 🧊 ⚠️ Afterward, showers for the rest of the day. 🌧️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Saturday 2/1 : Sunny. ☀️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 16°F. Sunday 2/2 : Mostly cloudy. 🌥️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Concluding thoughts : Rain on Friday, then sunshine and clouds for the weekend.

  • Weekly Outlook January 27-February 2

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed your weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 1/27 : Sunny. ☀️ Possible wind gusts over 20 mph during the daytime, then increasing to over 30 mph during the overnight hours. 🌬️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Tuesday 1/28 : Partly cloudy in the morning, ⛅ then mostly sunny in the afternoon. 🌤️ Slight chance of a snow shower or two. 🌨️ Wind gusts over 30 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 39°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Wednesday 1/29 : Mostly cloudy, 🌥️ with a chance of morning snow showers or flurries. 🌨️ Afterward, a few possible scattered rain or snow showers in the afternoon or evening. 🌧️::cloud_snow: Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 45°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Thursday 1/30 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Friday 1/31 : Occasional showers throughout the day. 🌧️ Afterward, there could be freezing rain during the overnight hours. 🧊⚠️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Saturday 2/1 : Snow showers throughout the day. 🌨️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 21°F. Sunday 2/2 : Mostly cloudy. 🌥️ Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of clouds, sunshine, and wintry precipitation throughout the week.

  • November: The Typhoon Train

    The 2024 Pacific Typhoon Season was overall below average. However, the Western Pacific produced an unusual event and arguably the main highlight of the season: back-to-back typhoons for the Philippines. Let's dive into how these typhoons developed and their impacts. Typhoon Yinxing The first storm of the November typhoon train was Yinxing. On November 3, 2024, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) marked a tropical depression, which later became Tropical Storm Yinxing. By November 5, the storm rapidly intensified to a Category 3 typhoon. After maintaining intensity, on November 7th at 6 am UTC, Yinxing peaked as a Category 4 typhoon with powerful sustained winds of 145 mph before making landfall on Santa Ana, Cagayan, Philippines. After heading west and weakening to Category 1 intensity, the typhoon restrengthened to a high-end Category 3 in the South China Sea. On November 10, wind shear increased and the storm quickly weakened, dissipating on November 12. Category 4 Typhoon Yinxing near peak intensity Yinxing produced about 10 inches of rain in Cagayan. Strong winds damaged over 28,000 houses and flooding closed multiple bridges. One fatality has been reported. Overall, infrastructure and agricultural damages totaled more than $9 million. After the typhoon, the South Korean government and Taipei Economic and Cultural Office provided aid worth over $700,000 to affected areas. Lastly, models did not develop Yinxing until the day the storm formed, which was quite interesting, and its peak intensity was very unexpected. Flooded houses and rice fields in Buguey, Philippines Typhoon Toraji On November 8, a tropical disturbance developed into Tropical Storm Toraji. A day later, the system underwent rapid intensification and unofficially peaked as a Category 2 typhoon with a defined inner core and sustained winds of 100 mph. Afterward, Toraji underwent an eyewall replacement cycle. The storm maintained high-end Category 1 intensity until it made landfall on Dilasag, Aurora, Philippines near November 11th at 12 am UTC. Mountainous terrain caused significant weakening. However, on November 12, the storm briefly re-intensified to a Category 1 typhoon in the South China Sea. On November 14, Toraji became a remnant low due to strong wind shear. Toraji near peak intensity on infrared imagery Typhoon Toraji caused several bridges to close, damaged nearly 3,000 houses, and impacted over 400,000 people. The water levels of the Cagayan River overflowed, inundating multiple villages. Unfortunately, Toraji caused four fatalities and damages totaled more than $7 million. Similar to Yinxing, models did not predict Toraji to intensify significantly until the storm started to rapidly develop. A photo from the Cagayan Provincial Information Office of the Cagayan River overflowing in Tuguegarao City. Super Typhoon Usagi On November 11, the JMA named Tropical Storm Usagi and upgraded the storm to a Category 1 typhoon a day later. On November 13, warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear resulted in Usagi undergoing explosive intensification. The storm strengthened to an astonishing Category 5 super typhoon in less than 24 hours, with a well-defined pinhole eye and unofficial sustained fierce winds of 175 mph. Near peak intensity, a high-resolution satellite measured an eye temperature of about 15°C, which was impressively warm to capture for a pinhole eye. Due to some zenith angle, which measures how far a satellite is from being directly overhead, the actual temperature was likely higher. Afterward, Usagi rapidly weakened as it approached Luzon province and made landfall in Baggao, Philippines on November 14, only three days after Toraji's landfall. Land interaction caused the storm's eye and structure to collapse. After crossing northern Luzon, Usagi gradually weakened as a tropical storm and dissipated near southwestern Taiwan. High-resolution satellite shows Usagi's pinhole eye at its peak intensity The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reported that over 850,000 people were impacted. Over 200 cities experienced power outages and at least 120,000 houses were damaged. In Gonzaga, some houses were swept away and uprooted trees collapsed a bridge. Although there have been no reported fatalities, damages totaled more than $9 million. Logs swept by rampaging river currents collapsed a concrete bridge Super Typhoon Man-yi On November 9, the JMA named Tropical Storm Man-yi and initially peaked as a relatively strong tropical storm. However, wind shear displaced convection and disorganized the system. After passing the Northern Mariana Islands, wind shear subsided on November 14, allowing the storm to resume strengthening. Man-yi underwent rapid intensification and had a 75 mph increase in winds within 24 hours. On November 16, Man-yi peaked as a powerful Category 5 super typhoon, with violent unofficial winds of 175 mph. A high-resolution satellite revealed a stunningly warm eye temperature of about 26°C. Later that day, the ferocious high-end Category 4 storm slammed into Catanduanes. The following day, Category 4 Typhoon Man-yi made a second landfall in Dipaculao, Philippines. After crossing the Philippines and weakening to a tropical storm, Man-yi restrengthened to a Category 1 typhoon, but increasing wind shear caused the storm to degenerate into a remnant low on November 19. Super Typhoon Man-yi nearing peak intensity and barreling toward the Philippines Man-yi was the last storm of this astonishing November typhoon train for the Philippines. Unfortunately, the NDRRMC reported that Man-yi killed 14 people and damages exceeded $58 million. The powerful typhoon damaged or destroyed more than 75,000 houses, impacted a staggering 4 million people, caused widespread flooding, and rendered roads impassable due to landslides. Camille Gianan, Provincial Information Officer of Catanduanes, said "[many people] have not recovered from the previous storms when the super typhoon hit. It's been one calamity after another." The Philippine's departments, such as the Department of Social Welfare and Development, and the Taipei Economic and Cultural Officer donated a total of over $3 million in humanitarian aid and disaster relief supplies to impacted families. Several houses damaged and destroyed in Viga, Catanduanes province An important aspect related to the November typhoon train is that in December 2024, a study by World Weather Attribution concluded that climate change increased the risk of at least three Category 3-5 typhoons hitting the Philippines in a year by 25%. Typhoons Yinxing, Toraji, Usagi, and Man-yi were consecutive extreme events, exacerbating the crisis and hindering efforts for populations to recover. The Philippines has advanced a proactive disaster risk management framework, exemplified by proposed legislation to implement anticipatory action under a State of Imminent Disaster. This approach will enable the government to carry out preemptive measures ahead of calamities, mitigating impacts and enhancing preparedness of natural disasters. Conclusion The November typhoon train was deadly and destructive. All four typhoons (Category 4 Yinxing, Category 2 Toraji, Category 5s Usagi and Man-yi) caused widespread devastation and flooding in many areas across the Philippines. Unfortunately, communities had little time to recover and prepare, and these powerful storms overwhelmed and exhausted supplies of emergency responders. The typhoons exemplify the challenges to adapt to back-to-back extreme weather events. As a result, there needs to be a structural plan to combat such disasters. The aforementioned risk management framework will hopefully make affected populations more resilient to future storms. Citations https://www.rappler.com/philippines/weather/typhoon-marce-update-pagasa-forecast-november-7-2024-5pm/ https://apnews.com/article/philippines-typhoon-yinxing-51b689a712c6bb793cc7d08929eb3143 https://plus.inquirer.net/news/over-60000-families-across-ph-in-distress-over-flooding-ocd/ https://www.brigadanews.ph/typhoon-nika-makes-landfall-in-aurora-pagasa-issues-severe-weather-warnings/ https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/927025/nika-ofel-damage/story/ https://www.cdrc-phil.com/typhoon-nika-i-n-toraji-situation-report/ https://archive.ph/20241111202259/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq33.rjtd..txt https://www.insidenova.com/news/national/as-philippines-picks-up-from-usagi-a-fresh-storm-bears-down/article/_2141de2f-1169-591c-ad81-b504de9cefee.html https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/other/as-philippines-picks-up-from-ofel-new-typhoon-pepito-bears-down/ar-AA1u7INU?ocid=weather-verthp-feeds https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/typhoon-man-yi-worsens-crisis-in-philippines-caused-by-multiple-back-to-back-storms https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1238540 https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2024/11/17/trail-of-destruction-as-typhoon-man-yi-lashes-the-philippines https://www.carbonbrief.org/record-breaking-philippines-typhoon-season-was-supercharged-by-climate-change/ https://web.senate.gov.ph/press_release/2024/0716_estradaj1.asp

  • Weekly Outlook January 20-26

    Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the winter storm yesterday. This will be one of the coldest weeks for this winter. Here is what you need to know. Monday 1/20 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Bitterly cold tonight. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -3°F. Daytime high of 27°F and nighttime low of 5°F. Tuesday 1/21 : Mostly cloudy. 🌥️ Dangerously cold. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -5°F. Daytime high of 19°F and nighttime low of 2°F. Wednesday 1/22 : Mostly sunny skies, 🌤️ then increasing clouds in the afternoon and evening. 🌥️ Frigid conditions. 🥶 Wind chill values as low as -3°F. Daytime high of 21°F and nighttime low of 6°F. Thursday 1/23 : Partly cloudy ⛅ and cold. 🥶 Daytime high of 28°F and nighttime low of 13°F. Friday 1/24 : Mostly sunny. 🌤️ Daytime high of 32°F and nighttime low of 12°F. Saturday 1/25 : Sunny. ☀️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Sunday 1/26 : Mostly cloudy skies. 🌥️ Daytime high of 42°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Concluding thoughts : Mix of sunshine and clouds accompanied by bitterly cold conditions. Please keep yourself warm and wear appropriate clothing to avoid frostbite and hypothermia!

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