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- Mid-week Outlook December 5-8
Hello everyone! December has been off to a cold start. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 12/5 : Snow in the morning 🌨️ followed by partly cloudy skies ⛅ and scattered rain and/or snow showers. 🌧️🌨️ Be careful in slick conditions! Wind gusts over 40 mph are expected. 🌬️ Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Friday 12/6 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 34°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Saturday 12/7 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 39°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Sunday 12/8 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 48°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Concluding thoughts : Snow today followed by cold and sunny conditions.
- Weekly Outlook December 2-8
Hello everyone! This weekend has been cold, and this pattern will continue for the rest of this week. Here is what you need to know. Monday 12/2 : Sunny skies ☀️ followed by partly cloudy skies ⛅ accompanied by flurries. 🌨️Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Tuesday 12/3 : Sunny skies ☀️ followed by partly cloudy skies ⛅ with flurries or isolated snow showers. 🌨️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 21°F. Wednesday 12/4 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ in the morning followed by mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. 🌥️ Afterward, rain and snow showers overnight. 🌧️🌨️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 33°F. Thursday 12/5 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ with a chance of a couple rain or snow showers. 🌧️🌨️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 42°F and nighttime low of 24°F. Friday 12/6 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 35°F and nighttime low of 18°F. Saturday 12/7 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 38°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Sunday 12/8 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 27°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunny, cold, and rain and snow showers for Wednesday night and Thursday.
- October: Hurricane Milton and the Spanish Floods
Cyclones and flooding dominated October and caused significant damage. There were two notable events: Hurricane Milton and the Spanish Floods. Both were deadly, destructive, and affected several areas. Let's dive into how these disasters occurred and their impacts. Hurricane Milton On October 4, the National Hurricane Center designated Invest 92L in the Bay of Campeche and the disturbance was named Tropical Storm Milton the next day. The storm initially moved erratically due to weak steering currents before moving relatively eastward across the Gulf of Mexico. On October 6, Milton intensified to a hurricane, the ninth of the season. Overnight, the hurricane underwent explosive intensification due to warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear. Milton peaked at October 8th 12 am UTC as an extremely intense Category 5 hurricane with sustained winds of 180 mph and a pressure of 897 millibars, and had a pinhole eye. Furthermore, Milton was recorded as having the lowest pressure since Wilma in 2005 and fastest rapid intensification in the Gulf of Mexico in recorded history. Milton later underwent an eyewall replacement cycle and weakened before rebounding to Category 5 intensity. Afterward, Milton weakened due to an increase in wind shear and on October 10, the storm made landfall near Siesta Key, Florida as a Category 3 major hurricane. Milton quickly weakened thereafter and transitioned to a hurricane-force extratropical low. Milton caused catastrophic damage in Florida, with several reports of hurricane-force winds along western Florida's coast. Venice recorded sustained winds of 92 mph and Marine recorded 83 mph. Wind gusts exceeded 100 mph in Venice and Sarasota. St. Petersburg Albert Whitted Airport measured 18.54 inches of rain, an astonishing amount for Florida. Tampa International Airport recorded 11.43 inches and Daytona Beach Shores recorded 15.8 inches. Not only did Milton cause wind and flood damage, but a tornado outbreak also occurred. The storm caused 46 tornadoes and even an EF3, the first since Agnes in 1972. Also, tornadoes destroyed and flipped over mobile homes in Fort Pierce and Spanish Lakes Community. Unfortunately, Hurricane Milton caused more than 30 fatalities and a shocking total of more than $85 billion in damages. Spanish Floods Multiple factors caused the Spanish floods in late October. High altitude cold air and record high temperatures in the Mediterranean Sea and Atlantic Ocean resulted in high evaporation levels. Valencia is built on an alluvial plain and lies flat around a riverbed, making the city vulnerable to flooding. Impervious surfaces such as roads hinders the drainage of water and increases the flood risk. In addition, the mountains of Valencia's interior caused humid air to be forced up and rapidly precipitate as heavy rain. The floods in Valencia unfolded early on October 29. Near 12pm, the ravine in Chiva overflowed and the Magro river burst its banks near Utiel. Around 6:30pm, the Poyo ravine burst its banks and flooded downstream through towns in Horta Sud. Other regions were affected by flooding, including Andalusia and Barcelona. The poor preparation and aforementioned factors resulted in this shocking tragedy. Some areas such as Chiva measured nearly 20 inches of rain. The flooding killed at least 229 people, with 221 in Valencia alone. More than 100,000 cars and nearly 5,000 businesses were damaged. Insurance claims totaled an astonishing 3.5 billion euros. Conclusion Hurricane Milton and the Spanish floods caused devastation and fatalities and neither will be easily forgotten for many years to come. An interesting aspect is that climate change influenced Milton and the Spanish floods. Abnormally high sea surface temperatures made Milton's rapid intensification more likely to occur. Milton's rainfall was 20-30% more heavier and winds increased by 10%. For the Spanish floods, record high sea surface temperatures and high levels of water evaporation made rainfall 12% heavier. The warming of the Arctic caused the jet stream to weaken and cold air to move south. The cold air and warm waters along with the recent hot summers making the soil drier resulted in devastating flash flooding. As the intensity of these storms continues to rise, we must increase our preparation with better forecasting and planning such as flood barriers. Citations https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al14/al142024.public_a.011.shtml https://web.archive.org/web/20241007221854/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/weather/hurricane-milton-intensity-speed.html https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al14/al142024.public.020.shtml? https://climatecenter.fsu.edu/images/docs/Hurricane-Milton-Report.pdf https://valenciasecreta.com/en/history-geography-valencia-dana/ https://wmo.int/media/news/devastating-rainfall-hits-spain-yet-another-flood-related-disaster https://e360.yale.edu/digest/satellite-images-spain-flooding https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/11/23/massive-car-graveyard-in-catarroja-shows-scale-of-spains-devastating-flooding
- Mid-week Outlook November 28-December 1
Hello everyone! The past few days have been a mix of sunshine and rain. There will be more precipitation. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 11/28 : Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃 Morning rain 🌧️ followed by showers and mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ in the afternoon. Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 46°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Friday 11/29 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ with isolated rain and/or snow showers. 🌧️🌨️ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 44°F and nighttime low of 25°F. Saturday 11/30 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Cold. 🥶 Daytime high of 39°F and nighttime low of 21°F. Sunday 12/1 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Cold. 🥶 Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 20°F. Concluding thoughts : After the Thanksgiving storm, very cold temperatures will set in.
- Weekly Outlook November 25-December 1
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed this sunny weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 11/25 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 53°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Tuesday 11/26 : Morning rain 🌧️ followed by partly cloudy skies ⛅ in the afternoon. Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible in the afternoon and evening. 🌬️ Daytime high of 57°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Wednesday 11/27 : Increasing clouds throughout the day. 🌥️ Daytime high of 50°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Thursday 11/28 : Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃 Periods of rain. 🌧️ Daytime high of 51°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Friday 11/29 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ with a chance of isolated showers. 🌧️ Daytime high of 43°F and nighttime low of 26°F. Saturday 11/30 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 40°F and nighttime low of 23°F. Sunday 12/1 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 37°F and nighttime low of 22°F. Concluding thoughts : Colder conditions ahead. Sunshine and clouds with rain on Tuesday and Thursday.
- Mid-week Outlook November 21-24
Hello everyone! This week has been relatively mild and sunny. However, a significant autumn storm has arrived. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 11/21 : Heavy rain overnight followed by occasional rain showers throughout the day. 🌧️ About 2-3 inches of rain is expected. Temperatures will drop to the low 40s by this evening. Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 54°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Friday 11/22 : A few rain and snow showers in the morning hours 🌧️🌨️ followed by mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ and some rain showers in the afternoon. Afterward, rain showers may transition back to a mix of rain and snow in the evening. 🌧️🌨️ Daytime high of 41°F and nighttime low of 33°F. Saturday 11/23 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 50°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Sunday 11/24 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 50°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Concluding thoughts : Heavy rain and wintry precipitation followed by sunshine and clouds.
- Weekly Outlook November 18-24
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed the sunny weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 11/18 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 66°F and nighttime low of 37°F. Tuesday 11/19 : Mostly sunny skies🌤️ followed by mostly cloudy skies ⛅ and a chance for isolated showers. 🌧️ Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 40°F. Wednesday 11/20 : Increasing clouds throughout the day ⛅ followed by periods of rain overnight. Rain may be heavy at times. 🌧️ Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 43°F. Thursday 11/21 : Periods of rain in the morning 🌧️ followed by occasional showers and mostly cloudy skies ⛅ in the afternoon. Daytime high of 51°F and nighttime low of 33°F. Friday 11/22 : Mostly cloudy skies ⛅ accompanied by occasional showers throughout the day. 🌧️ Daytime high of 47°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Saturday 11/23 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 52°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Sunday 11/24 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 53°F and nighttime low of 35°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunshine followed by rain later in the week.
- Mid-week Outlook November 14-17
Hello everyone! This week has been colder and windy. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 11/14 : Mostly cloudy skies. 🌥️ Daytime high of 49°F and nighttime low of 30°F. Friday 11/15 : Partly cloudy skies in the morning 🌥️ followed by mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 58°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Saturday 11/16 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 61°F and nighttime low of 35°F. Sunday 11/17 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 63°F and nighttime low of 39°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunshine and clouds accompanied by cooler temperatures.
- Weekly Outlook November 11-17
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed your weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 11/11 : Overnight rain 🌧️ followed by mostly cloudy skies in the morning. 🌥️ Afterward, partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon and evening. ⛅ Wind gusts over 20 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 66°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Tuesday 11/12 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Wind gusts over 25 mph are possible. 🌬️ Daytime high of 53°F and nighttime low of 29°F. Wednesday 11/13 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 50°F and nighttime low of 27°F. Thursday 11/14 : Mostly cloudy skies. 🌥️ Daytime high of 49°F and nighttime low of 32°F. Friday 11/15 : Mostly sunny skies. 🌤️ Daytime high of 56°F and nighttime low of 37°F. Saturday 11/16 : Sunny skies. ☀️ Daytime high of 59°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Sunday 11/17 : Partly cloudy skies. ⛅ Daytime high of 61°F and nighttime low of 43°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunshine and clouds throughout the week accompanied by much colder temperatures.
- Mid-week Outlook November 7-10
Hello everyone! The past couple of days have been unusually warm, but cooler conditions will arrive. Here is what you need to know. Thursday 11/7 : Mostly sunny skies 🌤️. Daytime high of 74°F and nighttime low of 39°F. Friday 11/8 : Sunny skies ☀️ with possible winds gusts over 20 mph 🌬️. Daytime high of 67°F and nighttime low of 35°F. Saturday 11/9 : Sunny skies ☀️. Daytime high of 55°F and nighttime low of 31°F. Sunday 11/10 : Mostly cloudy skies 🌥️ followed by showers in the evening that will continue in the overnight hours 🌧️. Daytime high of 59°F and nighttime low of 50°F. Concluding thoughts : Sunny skies followed by rain showers on Sunday.
- September: The Month of Flooding
Flooding — one of the deadliest phenomena worldwide. September was a catastrophic month due to multiple flooding events. The three main flooding disasters were Super Typhoon Yagi, Storm Boris, and Hurricane Helene. Let's dive into how these disasters occurred and their impacts. Super Typhoon Yagi On August 30, the Japan Meteorological Agency monitored a low-pressure area that would later develop into a tropical cyclone. Tropical Storm Yagi made landfall in Casiguran, Aurora, Philippines on September 2. A day after barreling across the Philippines, Yagi underwent rapid intensification and strengthened about 60 kt (70 mph) in just 24 hours. The storm later peaked as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph. Afterward, the typhoon slightly weakened and made landfall near Wenchang, Hainan, China as a Category 4 typhoon, the strongest to hit Hainan since Typhoon Rammasun in 2014. Yagi re-intensified in the Gulf of Tonkin and peaked again as a Category 4 typhoon before making landfall in Haiphong, Vietnam. Yagi devastated several areas, including southern parts of China, Philippines, Vietnam, and Myanmar. In the Philippines, Yagi caused at least 20 deaths and at least $60 million in damage. In southern China, damages totaled at least $12 billion and in Hainan, more than 50,000 houses were damaged or destroyed. In Vietnam, Yagi destroyed more than 200,000 hectares of crops. Some areas recorded more than two feet of rain, including Lào Cai and Thái Bình which both measured about 30 inches! Deadly landslides and flooding killed hundreds in both Vietnam and Myanmar. Yagi caused more than $16 billion in damage, killed over 800 people, and became the third-costliest typhoon in recorded history. Storm Boris Cold air was driven south across the United Kingdom and collided with warm air in the Mediterranean Sea on September 11-12. As a result, a low-pressure area formed and moved erratically east and then north. A cut-off low developed and was named Boris, which later became stuck between two high-pressure areas. Boris caused catastrophic flooding in Austria, Czechia, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Hungary. Unprecedented rainfall burst river banks and caused dams to fail, flooding many communities in central Europe. In Austria, cities including St. Pölten and Lilienfeld recorded over 14 inches of rain. In Czechia, Jeseník and Šerák measured around 18 inches. In Poland, dams failed in Stronie Śląskie and Lwówek Śląski, flooding houses and streets. In Romania, flooding damaged infrastructure and submerged homes in several towns. In Slovakia and Hungary, the Danube River overflowed its banks and flooded parts of Bratislava and Budapest. Storm Boris killed over 25 people and caused more than €2 billion in damage. Hurricane Helene On September 22, a low-pressure area developed in the western Caribbean. A couple days later, the National Hurricane Center named Tropical Storm Helene and the large and broad storm steadily intensified. On September 26, Helene underwent rapid intensification due to low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures. The hurricane rapidly intensified to its peak as a Category 4 major hurricane with winds of 140 mph. At September 27 3:10 UTC, Helene made landfall southwest of Perry, Florida. Afterward, the hurricane accelerated through Georgia and North Carolina before dissipating over Tennessee. Helene was a catastrophic hurricane and brought significant impacts to areas including Florida and North Carolina. In Keaton Beach, Florida, 90% of homes were destroyed. Manatee and Sarasota counties suffered major damage, totaling around $1 billion. In Georgia, over a million people lost power due to powerful winds causing trees to fall on power lines. The Chattahoochee River overflowed its banks, which led to water rescue teams evacuating dozens of people. In North Carolina, more than 100 people have been killed and damages totaled over $50 billion. Some places such as Busick received over 30 inches of rain. Also, landslides and floodwaters destroyed bridges and washed away roads, isolating communities including Asheville in western North Carolina. In South Carolina, wind gusts exceeded 70 mph in multiple areas and Helene produced several weak tornadoes. Unfortunately, Helene caused more than $80 billion in damage and at least 200 deaths. Conclusion Super Typhoon Yagi, Storm Boris, and Hurricane Helene all caused flooding and significant damage. Yagi devastated northern Vietnam, Boris devastated central Europe, and Helene devastated Florida and North Carolina. Extreme flooding events have become more frequent due to climate change and hopefully we will be better prepared for future natural disasters. Citations https://reliefweb.int/report/philippines/situation-update-no-4-combined-effects-tropical-cyclone-yagi-and-southwest-monsoon-14-september-2024 https://apnews.com/article/yagi-vietnam-storm-flooding-landslides-fdc1ab23b354b8b63a9c92213c3ec316 https://reliefweb.int/report/viet-nam/vnm-cyclone-09-2024-typhoon-yagi-viet-nam-field-report-3-092024-3-2024-09-15 https://elevenmyanmar.com/news/floods-claim-433-lives-79-missing-and-devastate-780000-acres-of-paddy-fields https://phys.org/news/2024-10-analysis-storm-boris-european-september.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/09/16/storm-boris-europe-flooding-torrential-rain/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/residents-polish-town-hit-by-flood-hope-make-homes-liveable-by-winter-2024-09-21/ https://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/live-blog/helene-deadly-storm-live-updates-rcna17320 https://www.britannica.com/event/Hurricane-Helene https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurricane-helenes-north-carolina-damage-53-billion-record/
- Weekly Outlook November 4-10
Hello everyone! I hope you all enjoyed your weekend. Here is what you need to know. Monday 11/4 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 61°F and nighttime low of 46°F. Tuesday 11/5 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 73°F and nighttime low of 57°F. Wednesday 11/6 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 80°F and nighttime low of 50°F. Thursday 11/7 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 68°F and nighttime low of 37°F. Friday 11/8 : Sunny skies ☀️. Daytime high of 65°F and nighttime low of 36°F. Saturday 11/9 : Mostly sunny skies 🌤️. Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 34°F. Sunday 11/10 : Partly cloudy skies ⛅ followed by showers in the afternoon and evening 🌧️. Daytime high of 61°F and nighttime low of 53°F. Concluding thoughts : Another pleasant week with a mix of sunshine and clouds.