Hello everyone! This is your tropics outlook on October 10 for the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Invest 94L has been disorganized over the past couple of days. Regardless, the invest still has a 80% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Eastern Pacific Invest 90E has a 90% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 24 hours. Recent satellite imagery suggest that the disturbance has attained better organized convection. Conditions should allow significant intensification to occur. An area of interest south of Guatemala has a 80% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Western Pacific Invest 99W has a 80% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days based on recent satellite trends of better organized convection. The invest is expected to make an unusual track up north into the Gulf of Tonkin. North Indian An area of interest located in the Arabian Sea has a 70% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days.

Super Typhoon Bolaven remains at Category 5 status but has weakened to with sustained winds of 175 mph (280 km/h) and a pressure of 908 millibars. While official estimates have a 180 mph (290 km/h) peak for the typhoon earlier on October 11, Bolaven was potentially stronger. Overall satellite estimates support winds as strong as 190 mph (305 km/h). Although there is debate on the typhoon's true intensity, there is no debate that Bolaven was the first Category 5 storm in October worldwide since Super Typhoon Goni in 2020. Bolaven is currently heading northeast at 10 mph (17 km/h) and is passing the Bonin Islands. Wind shear should start to increase in about a day or so, which would cause steady weakening.

Hurricane Lidia made landfall near Las Penitas, Jalisco, Mexico at 23:50 UTC or 7:50 pm EDT. Sustained winds were 140 mph (220 km/h) and a pressure of 942 millibars. Lidia will continue to move inland over mountainous terrain and dissipate by tomorrow. Here is info per the NHC that you need to know for Lidia. Impacts Storm surge will cause severe coastal flooding, especially to areas south of where Lidia made landfall. Total rainfall is expected to be up to 8 inches (~20 cm) with localized areas exceeding 12 inches (~30 cm). Swells will continue for the next day or so, bringing dangerous rip current and surf conditions for parts of western Mexico and Baja California. Warnings Hurricane Warning Las Islas Marias. Manzanillo to El Robito Tropical Storm Warning Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo El Roblito to Mazatlan.

Hello everyone! Here is your weekly outlook for this week in Chatham, NJ. Sunday 10/8: Partly to mostly cloudy skies 🌥. Daytime high of 59°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Monday 10/9: Partly cloudy skies in the morning followed by increasing clouds in the evening 🌥. Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 44°F. Tuesday 10/10: Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 65°F and nighttime low of 43°F. Wednesday 10/11: Mostly sunny skies 🌤. Daytime high of 66°F and nighttime low of 44°F. Thursday 10/12: Increasing clouds throughout the day 🌥. Daytime high of 62°F and nighttime low of 46°F. Friday 10/13: Mostly cloudy skies 🌥. Daytime high of 61°F and nighttime low of 45°F. Saturday 10/14: Periods of showers 🌧. Daytime high of 55°F and nighttime low of 47°F. Concluding thoughts: Mix of clouds and sunshine throughout the week and overall cooler conditions. Watch out for precipitation by the end of this week.

Hello everyone! Here is your weekly outlook for Chatham, NJ. Sunday 10/15: Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 59°F and nighttime low of 41°F. Monday 10/16: Mix of clouds and sunshine ⛅. A spotty shower or two is possible 🌦️. Daytime high of 60°F and nighttime low of 41°F. Tuesday 10/17: Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 62°F and nighttime low of 42°F. Wednesday 10/18: Overcast skies in the morning followed by partly cloudy skies later in the day 🌥️. Daytime high of 64°F and nighttime low of 44°F. Thursday 10/19: Mostly sunny skies 🌤️. Daytime high of 68°F and nighttime low of 50°F. Friday 10/20: Overcast skies followed by showers in the afternoon 🌧️. Daytime high of 65°F and nighttime low of 54°F. Saturday 10/21: Intermittent showers throughout the day 🌧️. Daytime high of 58°F and nighttime low of 43°F. Concluding thoughts: Sunshine and clouds is the main theme, but precipitation is expected to occur by the end of this week.

Hello everyone! This is your tropics outlook on October 10 for the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Invest 92L has a 80% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 2 days and will remain out to sea. Invest 93L initially had a 30% chance to form into a tropical depression in the Bay of Campeche. However, it's down to 10% because it lacks a well-defined center and has disorganized convection. Eastern Pacific Hurricane Lidia is rapidly intensifying as it heads east-northeast toward west-central Mexico. Lidia is currently a high-end Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) and will make landfall in the western part of the state of Jalisco, Mexico. Hurricane and tropical storm warnings remain. Dangerous storm surge and life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected. Western Pacific Typhoon Bolaven is moving away from the Mariana Islands and is explosively intensifying. Bolaven is now a Category 4 typhoon with sustained winds of 150 mph (240 km/h). The typhoon will become a Category 5 typhoon tomorrow as it heads northwest and then northeast later this week away from land.

North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe is heading north toward Bermuda and slightly strengthens with sustained winds of 50 mph (50 mph). Heavy rainfall remains the primary threat from parts of the mid-Atlantic to the Northeast for tomorrow and Saturday. An area of interest in the eastern Atlantic has a 30% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Eastern Pacific Lidia is gradually organizing and is up to 65 mph (100 km/h). Some strengthening is expected as the storm heads west and then turn northeast next week. Invest 99E has a 80% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days. People in southern Mexico should monitor the disturbance for potential impacts. An area of interest in the central part of the EPAC remains disorganized and only has a 10% to form within the next 2 days. Western Pacific Typhoon Koinu made landfall in Cape Eluanbi, Taiwan yesterday as a high-end Category 3 typhoon with winds of 125 mph (200 km/h). After some weakening to a high-end Category 1 typhoon today due to land interaction with Taiwan, Koinu has unexpectedly rebounded and is now a Category 2 typhoon as it heads west in the South China Sea. Invest 97W has a 30% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Invest 98W has a 80% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 7 days as the disturbance heads generally west.

North Atlantic Philippe is finally heading north as a minimal tropical storm. The system is expected to bring impacts, such as heavy rain and gusty winds, to several areas like Bermuda. A tropical storm warning is in effect for Bermuda. Eastern Pacific Tropical storm Lidia continues to face easterly wind shear with winds of 50 mph (85 km/h). Lidia is expected to gradually strengthen for the next 5 days as it stays out to sea and heads north-northwest. The area of interest south of Guatemala has a 80% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Another area of interest in the central part of the Eastern pacific has a 10% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 2 days. By the weekend, conditions will be unfavorable for further development. Western Pacific Typhoon Koinu peaked earlier today as a Category 4 typhoon with winds of 140 mph (225 km/h). Also, buoys off the coast of Taiwan have recorded very high winds and gusts. Koinu is nearing landfall on Taiwan's southern tip and heavy rain, storm surge, and strong winds are expected in that general area. Invest 97W is located near the Mariana Islands and has a 10% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Invest 98W has a 50% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days.

Hello everyone! This is your mid-week outlook for Chatham, NJ. Wednesday 10/4: Sunny and hot 🌞. Daytime high of 85°F and nighttime low of 52°F. Thursday 10/5: Partly cloudy skies ⛅. Daytime high of 78°F and nighttime low of 58°F. Friday 10/6: Intermittent showers followed by rain during the overnight hours 🌧️. Daytime high of 74°F and nighttime low of 63°F. Saturday 10/7: Rain in the morning followed by showers in the afternoon 🌧️. The daytime high should occur in the morning before temperatures decrease throughout the day from a cold front. Daytime high of 67°F and a nighttime low of 46°F. Concluding thoughts: Enjoy the warm temperatures for the next couple of days before cooler and rainy conditions arrive.

Hello everyone! Here is the tropics outlook for October 2 which covers the Northern Hemisphere. North Atlantic Tropical storm Philippe is struggling against moderate wind shear and is maintaining its intensity at 50 mph (85 km/h). However, the system is making its closest approach to the Leeward Islands, with heavy rainfall remaining the primary threat. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Antigua & Barbuda. Rina degenerated to a remnant low yesterday and now it is almost gone. Eastern Pacific Invest 98E is quickly organizing and has a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next 2 days. Impacts on any land remain uncertain. An area of interest was marked south of Oaxaca, Mexico, and has a 60% chance of forming into a tropical depression within the next 7 days. Western Pacific Typhoon Koinu continues to rapidly intensify and is now a high-end Category 3 typhoon with sustained winds of 125 mph (200 km/h). The typhoon is heading northwest as shear increases and will impact southern Taiwan in about 2 days. Preparations should be underway for Taiwan. Invest 96W will not form into a tropical depression.

Hello everyone and welcome to the month of October! This is your weekly outlook for Chatham, NJ. Sunday 10/1: Sunny skies and warmer 🌞. Daytime high of 78°F and nighttime low of 55°F. Monday 10/2: Mostly sunny skies 🌤️. Daytime high of 79°F and nighttime low of 56°F. Tuesday 10/3: Sunny skies and pleasant 🌞. Daytime high of 81°F and nighttime low of 58°F. Wednesday 10/4: Sunny 🌞. Daytime high of 82°F and nighttime low of 56°F. Thursday 10/5: Increasing clouds throughout the afternoon 🌥. Daytime high of 73°F and nighttime low of 61°F. Friday 10/6: Overcast skies accompanied by occasional showers throughout the day 🌧️. Daytime high of 72°F and nighttime low of 63°F. Saturday 10/7: Periods of rain 🌧️. Daytime high of 67°F and nighttime low of 47°F. Concluding thoughts: Take advantage of the sunny and warm conditions before the second half of the week brings rain.

Hello everyone! We are ending the week with a washout. The amount of rain forecast for New Jersey and Long Island, New York, have significantly increased. Here is what you need to know. Showers are occurring for parts of New Jersey and western Long Island. Rain should become more widespread by Friday morning. Areas in northwestern NJ are expected to receive 2-3 inches of rain from Friday morning to Saturday morning. Areas in central and northeastern NJ are expected to receive at least 4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts of >6 inches depending on where the rain bands set up. There is a slight risk for excessive rainfall for the majority of those areas. Some parts of northeastern and central NJ are under a moderate risk of excessive rainfall. Watch out for localized flooding or even extensive street flooding is possible. Streams and rivers may also flood their banks due to heavy rain.