Tropics Outlook October 16

Hello everyone! This is your tropics outlook on October 10 for the Northern Hemisphere.

North Atlantic

• Invest 94L has been disorganized over the past couple of days. Regardless, the invest still has a 80% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days.

Eastern Pacific

• Invest 90E has a 90% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 24 hours. Recent satellite imagery suggest that the disturbance has attained better organized convection. Conditions should allow significant intensification to occur.

Infrared imagery of 90E with organized deep convection

• An area of interest south of Guatemala has a 80% chance to form into a tropical depression within the next 7 days.

Western Pacific

• Invest 99W has a 80% chance to become a tropical depression within the next 2 days based on recent satellite trends of better organized convection. The invest is expected to make an unusual track up north into the Gulf of Tonkin.

North Indian

• An area of interest located in the Arabian Sea has a 70% chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 7 days.